How well I recall back when the Ayatollah Khomeini swept into power in Iran that more than a few "experts" assured us that he wasn't going to be all that extreme.
Flash forwards to today, when Shiites in league with Iran have swept into power in Yemen, and we have this--"experts" who espy "signs of moderation" among this group of extremists.
So what's the deal with these experts? Are they delusional? Wishful thinkers? "Experts" sans insight?
All of the above?